Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 58.462765 66.606743 74.960370 84.135291 93.896117 103.939479 115.024295
2026-01-18 45.410311 56.940603 69.346397 83.543048 99.206359 115.841045 134.728013
2026-01-25 38.163756 51.545328 66.466338 84.040769 103.906509 125.432819 150.300246
2026-02-01 31.952537 46.438722 63.152412 83.360904 106.692135 132.406000 162.535351
2026-02-08 27.308292 42.581516 60.772419 83.284905 109.751113 139.334788 174.400747
2026-02-15 23.035878 38.690828 57.953905 82.343233 111.512340 144.545386 184.111275
2026-02-22 20.374745 36.557661 57.038333 83.463565 115.506612 152.168320 196.436590
2026-03-01 18.238658 34.886238 56.520984 84.918287 119.776082 160.015509 208.941527
2026-03-08 15.414549 31.961964 54.176146 83.929109 120.966806 164.154402 217.070768
2026-03-15 12.705471 28.890058 51.409508 82.221325 121.132839 166.966067 223.554091
2026-03-22 12.010141 28.772604 52.559798 85.476272 127.357011 176.942896 238.400614
2026-03-29 10.910754 27.899895 52.594486 87.228001 131.678595 184.621429 250.530006
2026-04-05 9.216145 25.888459 50.947979 86.733582 133.192803 188.958024 258.775741
2026-04-12 7.727072 24.024658 49.387847 86.264010 134.676011 193.217370 266.906260
2026-04-19 6.655612 22.749809 48.590134 86.746554 137.312582 198.836589 276.623874
2026-04-26 5.448231 21.021056 46.997442 86.059026 138.386962 202.500940 283.967355
2026-05-03 4.519991 19.678510 45.897341 85.980905 140.196091 207.030430 292.321557
2026-05-10 3.554669 18.045661 44.227572 85.022683 140.798844 210.025787 298.790970
2026-05-17 3.059038 17.383796 44.062827 86.162838 144.130551 216.393766 309.334828
2026-05-24 2.668700 16.899388 44.151632 87.643158 147.897609 223.297776 320.528535
2026-05-31 1.996189 15.471394 42.567731 86.636598 148.315628 225.979052 326.555672
2026-06-07 1.362383 13.862739 40.545129 84.898587 147.690909 227.302374 330.885453
2026-06-14 1.319950 14.174082 41.916212 88.210906 153.883193 237.245711 345.797084